异质信息环境下基于案例推理的应急决策方法
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(1. 福州大学经济与管理学院,福州350116;2. 福建江夏学院电子信息科学学院,福州350108;3. 福州大学信息管理研究所,福州350116)

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E-mail: zhangwd@fzu.edu.cn.

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C931

基金项目:

福建省自然科学基金项目(2018J01649);福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAT170624);福建省高校新世纪优秀人才项目(闽教科[2018]47号);国家社会科学基金项目(17CGL058,19BGL016).


Emergency decision-making method based on case-based reasoning in heterogeneous information environment
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(1. School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350116,China;2. College of Electronics and Information Science,Fujian Jiangxia University,Fuzhou 350108,China;3. Institute of Information Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350116,China)

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    摘要:

    针对在突发事件应急决策中,信息表述为精确数、区间数、语言术语、直觉模糊数、中智数、梯形模糊中智数等多样性的特点,同时鉴于案例推理方法的简单易用,提出一种异质信息环境下基于案例推理的应急决策方法.首先,引入异质数据的距离及相似度测度,并基于偏差最大化方法计算异质信息属性权重;然后,基于综合相似度测度,采用案例推理的方法从案例库中找到与目标案例相同或者相似的历史案例,从而获得有效的解决当前突发事件的应急预案和处理措施;最后,通过一个应急突发事件案例验证所提出决策方法的可行性和有效性,同时与其他方法相比较验证其优点.

    Abstract:

    In response to the heterogeneity of decision information in emergency decision-making, and the decision information can be expressed as exact numbers, interval numbers, linguistic terms, intuitionistic fuzzy numbers, neutrosophic numbers, and trapezoidal fuzzy neutrosophic numbers, and considering the simple and easy use of case-based reasoning, an emergency decision-making method based on case-based reasoning in heterogeneous information environment is proposed. Firstly, the distance and similarity measure of heterogeneous data are introduced, and the heterogeneous information attribute weight is calculated based on the deviation maximization method. Then based on the comprehensive similarity measure, the case-based reasoning method is used to find the historical case that is the same or similar to the target case from the case base, so as to obtain an effective emergency plan and treatment measures for solving the current emergency. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the decision-making method are verified by an emergency case, and the advantages of the method are illustrated by comparison with other methods.

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谭睿璞,张文德,陈圣群,等.异质信息环境下基于案例推理的应急决策方法[J].控制与决策,2020,35(8):1966-1976

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-06-08
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