异质性时间偏好下制造商主导的闭环供应链决策
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F224

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国家自然科学基金项目(72001059);黑龙江省自然科学基金优秀青年基金项目(YQ2023G004);中国博士后科学基金面上项目(2021M690606);山东省自然科学基金面上项目(ZR2024MG026).


Decision making of manufacturer-dominated closed-loop supply chain under heterogeneous time preference
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    摘要:

    回收业务的长期运营属性决定了其决策过程的动态特征. 针对闭环供应链(CLSC)企业对远期收益存在的时间偏好异质性, 即制造商主导且时间偏好一致、零售商跟随且时间偏好不一致情形, 探究异质性时间偏好对CLSC系统回收、定价策略制定及回收模式选择的影响. 首先, 应用随机双曲折现模型, 构建零售商时间偏好不一致的跨期决策动态规划模型; 其次, 结合随机微分对策理论和逆向归纳法, 求解得到不同回收模式下的均衡回收投入、定价策略、可再利用率期望以及效用函数, 并对均衡结果进行比较分析. 研究发现: 相较于时间偏好不一致的成熟型零售商, 幼稚型零售商负责回收能使整个CLSC系统实现较高的效用; 时间偏好一致的制造商负责回收, 无论面对成熟型还是幼稚型零售商, 其回收行为均能促进废旧产品的有效利用, 进而确保整个CLSC系统达到最优状态. 因此, 制造商回收是CLSC系统的最佳回收模式, 且零售商时间偏好的不一致性可增强供应链成员采用制造商回收策略的意愿, 该结论与完全理性的静态模型研究不同.

    Abstract:

    The long-term operation attribute of recycling business determines the dynamic characteristics of its decision-making process. This article considers time-preference heterogeneity for a firm's long-term benefits in a closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) system, that is, the situation in which the leader manufacturer has time-consistent preference and the follower retailer has time-inconsistent preference. Also, the impact of heterogeneous time preference is studied on the decision-making of recovery and pricing strategies and the selection of recycling modes in the CLSC system. Firstly, a stochastic hyperbolic discounting model is applied to construct a dynamic programming model for an inter-temporal decision when the retailer has time-inconsistent preference. Next, by combining the stochastic differential game and the reverse induction method, the equilibrium recycling investment, pricing strategy, expected recyclability rate, and utility functions are obtained under different recycling modes. Then, the equilibrium results are compared and analyzed. The results show that, compared to the mature retailer with time-inconsistent preference, the naive retailer taking responsibility for recycling can ensure the higher utility of the entire CLSC system. When the manufacturer with time-consistent preference is responsible for recycling, whether facing mature or naive retailers, his recycling behavior can promote the effective utilization of waste products, enabling the entire CLSC system to achieve the optimal utility. Therefore, manufacturer recycling mode is best for the CLSC system, and the inconsistency of retailer's time preference increases the willingness of supply chain members to adopt manufacturer recycling strategies, which is different from the research results of completely rational static models.

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张浩男,于浍,徐娜,等.异质性时间偏好下制造商主导的闭环供应链决策[J].控制与决策,2025,40(12):3667-3677

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-10
  • 出版日期: 2025-12-10
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