双渠道异质产品市场背景下的概率销售策略
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作者单位:

(1. 东南大学经济管理学院,南京211189;2. 武汉理工大学管理学院,武汉430070)

作者简介:

杨光(1986-), 男, 博士生, 从事概率销售及其应用的研究;刘新旺(1968-), 男, 教授, 博士生导师, 从事行为决策等研究.

通讯作者:

E-mail: xwliu@seu.edu.cn.

中图分类号:

F229.4

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(71371049,71771051,71701158);国家留学基金委基金项目(CSC201706090142);教育部人文社科基金项目(17YJC630114);中央高校自主创新基金项目(2017VI010,2018IVB036).


Probabilistic selling policy in dual-channel and heterogeneous products market
Author:
Affiliation:

(1. School of Economics and Management,Southeast University,Nanjing211189,China;2. School of Management,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan430070,China)

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    摘要:

    随着网络平台的兴起,概率销售作为一种新型销售策略广泛应用于Hotwire和Priceline.销售商将两种异质产品按一定比例打包成概率产品,通过网络渠道销售给消费者.首先,利用消费者对产品的估值差异研究双渠道异质产品销售模型(HDTM)的最优定价策略和最优收益;然后,结合HDTM研究双渠道异质产品的概率销售模型(HDPM),并讨论该模型的定价策略和最优收益;最后,研究双渠道销售模型最优收益以及概率水平对双渠道概率销售模型与传统销售模型最优收益差的影响并给出数值结果.数值结果表明,在低概率水平下和高概率水平下,双渠道概率销售模型的最优收益与传统单渠道销售模型相比具有明显优势,即表现出“两端优势”,但在中等概率水平下,概率销售模型的最优收益低于传统销售模型收益.

    Abstract:

    With online platform emerging, probabilistic selling(PS) has been widely applied in Hotwire and Priceline. The seller packages two kinds of heterogeneous products into probabilistic goods by appropriate proportion as well as sells to consumers via online. Firstly, by means of consumers' evaluation differences for goods, the heterogeneous product dual-channel selling model(HDTM) is constructed, and its optimal pricing strategies and optimal profits are analyzed. Furthermore, the heterogeneous product dual-channel probabilistic selling model(HDPM) is constructed similarly, and its pricing strategies and optimal profits are also discussed. Finally, we analyze the differences between the models’ profits as well as the impacts of probabilistic selling to their profits. Furthermore, an illustrative example is given, the results show that HDPM profits for the low and high levels have outweigh advantages, that is “two ends advantages”, but the profit of HDPM for the moderate level is lower than the traditional selling model’s profit.

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杨光,刘新旺,秦晋栋,等.双渠道异质产品市场背景下的概率销售策略[J].控制与决策,2019,34(5):1049-1059

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-04-17
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