面向基金赎回风险应对场景的决策优化
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作者单位:

1. 浙江大学 控制科学与工程学院,杭州 310027;2. 浙江大学 工业控制技术国家重点实验室,杭州 310027

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通讯作者:

E-mail: csong@zju.edu.cn.

中图分类号:

O221.5

基金项目:

广东省重点领域研发计划项目(2020B0101050001);国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFA0700300).


Decision optimization for fund redemption risk response scenarios
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Affiliation:

1. College of Control Science and Engineering,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China;2. State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China

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    摘要:

    对于基金管理者而言,投资者提前或大额赎回有可能带来流动性风险,因此需要提前进行融资以应对需求.为了降低融资成本,同时满足赎回需求,建立一种混合整数二次约束规划模型.模型符合实际业务约束,引入融资成本波动的不确定性,将成本波动的风险量化为方差,同时考虑融资成本和风险的最小化.当不考虑风险时,模型退化为确定性优化命题.使用金融机构提供的算例进行仿真,优化结果能够兼顾决策的最优性和求解的快速性,满足实际业务的需求.对比确定性和不确定性模型得到的决策方案,分析总结降低融资风险的方法,针对方差上限进行灵敏度分析,结果进一步支持已有观点.

    Abstract:

    For fund managers, early and large redemption may bring liquidity risk, so it is necessary to finance in advance. In order to reduce the cost of financing and meet the demand for redemption, a mixed integer quadratic constraint programming model is established, which subjects to the actual business constraints, and the uncertainty of financing cost fluctuations is quantified as the variance of the cost. The model minimizes both financing costs and risks. When the risk is not considered, the model degenerates into a deterministic optimization proposition. A simulation example is provided by financial institutions. The optimization results can take into account both the optimality of decision-making and the solving speed, which can meet the needs of the actual business. By comparing the decision schemes obtained by the deterministic and uncertain models, the methods of reducing financing risk are analyzed and summarized. A sensitivity analysis is carried out on the upper limit of variance, and the results further support the existing opinions.

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罗煦阳,宋春跃.面向基金赎回风险应对场景的决策优化[J].控制与决策,2022,37(1):151-159

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-12-10
  • 出版日期: 2022-01-20
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