基于GCN和TCN的多因素城市路网出租车需求预测
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

长安大学 信息工程学院,西安 710064

作者简介:

通讯作者:

E-mail: zchen@chd.edu.cn.

中图分类号:

TP39

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFB1600400);陕西省重点研发计划项目(2019ZDLGY03-09-01, 2020ZDLGY09-02,2022GY-063).


Multi-factor taxi demand forecasting for urban road network based on GCN and TCN
Author:
Affiliation:

School of Information Engineering, Changán University, Xián 710064, China

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    在巡游模式下,出租车与乘客间供需不易匹配,造成出租车空载和乘客打车难现象并存,准确高效地实现路网出租车需求预测有利于有效缓解这一问题.针对现有交通流预测模型对空间特征提取不充分,特别是对城市路网内路段之间的空间关系没有全面挖掘这一问题,充分考虑路网内路段间的3种空间关系,对其分别构建路段间的局部关系图、路段全局关系图和路段OD次数关系图,提出一种由图卷积网络与时间卷积网络相结合的出租车需求预测模型.其中,采用图卷积网络对城市路网内路段的空间关系特征进行挖掘,采用时间卷积网络对交通数据集中的时间序列特征进行挖掘,并且考虑外部因素的影响.实验中,首先从真实出租车GPS轨迹数据中提取城市路网中各个路段的出租车出行量,并利用道路上在多个时隙形成的出行量序列对预测模型进行验证.结果表明,相比其他交通流预测模型,所提出的预测模型具有较优的平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均绝对百分误差.

    Abstract:

    In the cruise mode, the supply and demand between taxis and passengers is not easy to match, resulting in the coexistence of empty taxis and hard hailing phenomenon. Accurate and efficient realization of the road network taxi demand forecast is conducive to effectively alleviate this problem. In the view of that the existing traffic flow prediction models can not sufficiently extract spatial features, especially the spatial relationship between sections in urban road networks, full consideration is given to the three kinds of spatial relationship between segments within the road network, and three types of graphs are constructed correspondingly, i.e. the local relationship graph, the global relationship graph and the OD frequency relationship graph. This paper proposes a taxi demand prediction model which is composed of the graph convolutional network and the temporal convolutional network. The graph convolutional network is used to mine the spatial relationship features of sections in the urban road network, and the temporal convolutional network is used to mine the time series features of traffic data, and the influence of external factors is considered. In the experiment, the number of taxi trips in each section of the urban road network is extracted from the real taxi GPS trajectory data, and the series of trips number formed in multiple time slots on the road is used to verify the prediction model. The results show that the proposed model is superior to the common traffic prediction models, and has smaller mean absolute error, root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

陈柘,刘嘉华,赵斌,等.基于GCN和TCN的多因素城市路网出租车需求预测[J].控制与决策,2023,38(4):1031-1038

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-22
  • 出版日期: 2023-04-20
文章二维码