基于多变量GERT的复杂装备研制进度控制方法及应用
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1.江南大学;2.无锡职业技术学院

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C934

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Schedule control method and application for complex equipment development based on multivariate GERT
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Jiangnan University

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    摘要:

    研制进度管理是复杂装备项目的重要工作之一,合理的进度计划和调控措施能够保证项目研制成功和及时交付。然而研制进度受到工期、成本、客户需求等众多因素的影响和制约,并且这些因素呈现一定的不确定性。为描述和解决此类进度控制问题,考虑到工期、成本等变量的不确定性和客户质量需求的满足程度,利用区间数、随机网络(GERT)、优化模型等理论和方法,构建了基于多变量随机网络的复杂装备研制进度控制方法。首先,考虑到工期、成本、质量价值等变量的不确定性,将区间数引入随机网络(GERT),同时考虑客户质量价值需求,定义了基于区间数的多变量随机网络,分析了复杂装备质量价值与产品质量水平和研制成本之间的关系,并提出了质量价值的量化公式;其次,考虑到工期、成本和质量价值的相互影响和作用,构建了复杂装备研制工期-成本-质量价值多目标优化模型,并利用多目标遗传算法(NSGA-II)设计求解算法;最后,以案例验证了模型的有效性与合理性。

    Abstract:

    Development schedule management is one of the important tasks of complex equipment projects, and reasonable schedule planning and control measures can ensure the success of project development and timely delivery. However, the development schedule is affected and constrained by many factors, such as schedule, cost, customer requirements, etc., and these factors show a certain degree of uncertainty. To describe and solve this kind of schedule control problem, taking into account the uncertainty of variables such as schedule and cost and the degree of satisfaction of customer"s quality requirements, a multivariate stochastic network-based schedule control method for complex equipment development is constructed by using theories and methods such as interval number, random network (GERT) and optimization model. Firstly, considering the uncertainty of the variables such as duration, cost and quality value, the interval number is introduced into the random network (GERT), and at the same time, considering the customer"s quality value demand, the multi variate random network based on the interval number is defined, and the relationship between the quality value of the complex equipment and the product quality level and the development cost is analyzed, and the quantitative formula of the quality value is proposed; secondly, taking into account the mutual influences and effects of the duration, cost and quality value, the duration-cost-quality value of the development of complex equipment is constructed. Secondly, considering the mutual influence and role of schedule, cost and quality value, a multi-objective optimization model is constructed, and a solution algorithm is designed by using a multi-objective genetic algorithm (NSGA-II); finally, the validity and reasonableness of the model are verified with a case study.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-04-30
  • 最后修改日期:2024-08-14
  • 录用日期:2024-08-14
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-09-02
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