有限周期下考虑成本动态变化的视情维修策略研究
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TP273

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山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(2024W077);国家自然科学基金项目(72032005);国家社会科学基金项目(23CGL018).


Study on finite-time operation and maintenance strategy for complex system considering dynamic maintenance cost
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    摘要:

    随着信息技术的不断发展, 智能运维在工业设备的数字化转型过程中发挥着至关重要的作用. 通过设计科学的运维策略, 不仅能够保证复杂系统的高可用性和可靠性, 还能降低企业运营成本和风险. 不同于传统维修策略假设运行周期是无限的, 为设计出更加符合实际的运维策略, 首先, 在有限周期下考虑预防性维修成本随运行时间发生改变的特点, 并结合复杂系统在实际作业过程中同时受到退化失效和突发失效的双重影响, 建立一个有限周期下基于竞争失效系统的预防性维修优化模型; 然后, 以期望维修总费用最小化为目标, 通过构建马尔可夫决策过程并采用动态规划算法来确定最优的检修间隔和维修策略; 最后, 通过数值算例结合敏感性分析验证所提出动态运维策略在维修资源合理配置方面的有效性.

    Abstract:

    With the rapid development of the information and communication technology, intelligent operation and maintenance(OM) plays a vital role in the process of digital transformation of industrial equipment. Through the design of effective dynamic operation and maintenance strategies, enterprises can not only ensure the high availability and reliability of complex systems, but also reduce the operating costs and risks. Unlike the traditional maintenance strategy that assumes an infinite horizon, in order to design a more realistic operation and maintenance strategy in line with the reality, this study not only considers the dynamic characteristics of the preventive maintenance(PM) cost with the operating cycle under the finite time, but also establishs a PM optimization model based on a competing failure system within the finite cycle. This mode takes into account the dynamic influence of maintenance cost on the maintenance strategy for the competing failure system, and establishes a Markov decision process(MDP). Then the dynamic programming algorithm is used to determine the optimal maintenance interval and maintenance strategy with minimizing the expected total maintenance cost. Finally, a numerical example and sensitivity analysis are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed maintenance strategy.

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李婷,戴安舒,何曙光.有限周期下考虑成本动态变化的视情维修策略研究[J].控制与决策,2025,40(9):2826-2832

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-31
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-08
  • 出版日期: 2025-09-20
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