韧性视角下考虑供应商失效的应急物资供应链决策优化
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X913;F274

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国家自然科学基金项目(72104037);陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(2024ZC-YBXM-126);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(300102231647).


Decision optimization of emergency materials supply chain considering supplier failure from perspective of resilience
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    摘要:

    为确保应急物资的持续供应和有效分配, 使应急物资供应链在供应商失效时仍能保持一定的供应能力并快速响应, 继而恢复到良好的运行状态, 从而提升应急管理效率, 将韧性理论引入自然灾害应急物资供应链决策中. 基于韧性预防策略(产能储备与多源采购)、韧性响应策略(备用供应商)及韧性恢复策略(原供应商产能修复), 在政企联合模式的前提下, 建立以供应链总成本最小和供应链总韧性值最大为目标的灾前灾后两阶段混合整数随机规划模型. 通过算例求解得到不同情景和多种不确定因素下的应急物资供应链相关决策方案, 并通过对比分析和灵敏度分析证明模型的有效性与韧性策略的适用性. 结果表明: 韧性策略可以有效提升应急物资供应链应对供应中断的预防能力、响应能力与恢复能力; 韧性预防策略更适用于供应链失效程度较小的情况; 供应商失效时间越长、失效情景越严重, 备用供应商发挥的作用越大, 反之则原供应商产能修复发挥的作用更大.

    Abstract:

    In order to ensure the continuous supply and effective allocation of emergency materials, enable the supply chain of emergency materials to maintain a certain supply capacity when the supplier fails, respond quickly and recover to a good operating state, and thus improve the efficiency of emergency management, this paper introduces the theory of resilience into emergency materials supply chain decision-making for natural disasters. Based on the resilience prevention strategies (capacity reserve and multi-source procurement), resilience response strategy (standby suppliers) and resilience recovery strategy (original supplier capacity repair), a two-stage mixed-integer stochastic programming model encompassing pre-disaster and post-disaster phases with the goal of minimum total supply chain cost and maximum total supply chain resilience is established under the premise of the government-enterprise joint model. The decision-making solutions for the emergency supply chain under different scenarios and multiple uncertainties are derived through numerical example analysis. The validity of the model and the applicability of the resilience strategy are proved by comparative analysis and sensitivity analysis. The results show that the resilience strategy can effectively improve prevention, response and recovery abilities of the supply chain to cope with supply interruptions. The resilience prevention strategy is only applicable when the degree of supplier failure is small. The longer the supplier’s failure time and the greater the degree of failure, the greater the role played by the standby supplier, conversely, the greater the role played by the original supplier’s capacity repair.

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伍佳妮,龙燕妮.韧性视角下考虑供应商失效的应急物资供应链决策优化[J].控制与决策,2025,40(8):2439-2449

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-11
  • 出版日期: 2025-08-20
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