机理指导的LSTM网络及其在康斯迪电弧炉钢水连续温度预测中的应用
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Mechanism-guided LSTM network for continuous temperature prediction in Consteel smelting process
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    摘要:

    在康斯迪电弧炉的冶炼过程中, 及时准确地预测钢水温度对优化整个冶炼过程、节约生产成本起到至关重要的作用. 然而, 受制于电弧炉极限的生产条件以及相当稀疏的温度测量次数, 无论是复杂的机理模型还是基于数据的机器学习模型都无法获得理想的预测结果. 针对这一问题, 通过将机理知识与LSTM网络相结合, 提出一种机理指导的LSTM网络模型实现对钢水温度连续准确的预测. 首先, 根据康斯迪电炉的冶炼特点,以LSTM网络为核心设计模型的基本结构; 然后, 提出一个约束层将模型中间层的输出限制在由冶炼机理确定的合理范围之内, 通过这种方式实现用冶炼知识指导网络的训练方向, 使模型的输出更符合冶炼实际, 同时又可弥补训练标签稀疏的问题; 最后, 使用现场收集的冶炼数据验证所提出的模型的有效性. 实验结果表明, 相比于其他温度预测模型, 所提出的模型的预测精度更高且与冶炼机理知识更相符.

    Abstract:

    Temperature prediction of molten steel always plays a significant role in the smelting process of the Consteel electric arc furnace (EAF), as obtaining the accurate temperature timely contributes to refining the whole process and reducing the production cost. However, limited by the extreme smelting conditions of the EAF and the rather sparse temperature measurements, neither the physical-based model nor the data-based machine learning one alone is able to achieve precise prediction results. To address this problem, we provide a temperature prediction model by integrating mechanism knowledge with a LSTM network. First, the model framework is constructed according to intrinsic characteristics of the Consteel smelting process. We leverage a LSTM network as the core of the model to accomplish the basic task of continuous temperature prediction. Then, a special constraint layer is developed to limit the output of the intermediate layer of the model to a reasonable range, which is determined by the energy balance of molten steel. In this way, valuable smelting knowledge can be embedded in the training process of the network, and the problem of label insufficiency is compensated resultantly. Finally, a series of experiments are conducted based on a practical dataset collected from a Consteel EAF production site. The proposed model is compared with several state-of-the-art models, where the results illustrate its superiority.

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李闯,毛志忠,欧阳,等.机理指导的LSTM网络及其在康斯迪电弧炉钢水连续温度预测中的应用[J].控制与决策,2025,40(10):3055-3064

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-09
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-20
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