数据不确定下的乘性DEA模型: 一种鲁棒优化方法
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O224

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国家自然科学基金项目(72371001, 72471001, 72071001, 72271002, 72171002);安徽省高校优秀青年人才重点项目(gxyqZD2022001);安徽省高校杰出青年基金项目(2023AH020009);安徽省自然科学基金优青项目(2408085Y035).


Multiplicative DEA model under data uncertainty: A robust optimization approach
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    摘要:

    乘性数据包络分析(DEA)模型是效率测量的有效工具, 其依赖于分段对数线性技术, 能够灵活捕捉生产函数的关键生产特征(凸性、线性和凹性). 然而, 现有一些研究鲜有考虑数据的不确定性, 并未允许不确定数据的分布未知. 鉴于此, 利用鲁棒优化方法, 对决策单元输入和输出数据中的不确定性进行建模, 以确保性能评估的稳定性和可靠性. 首先, 基于所构建具有乘性特征的预算不确定集, 提出两个鲁棒乘性DEA模型, 并通过对偶将其重新表述为等效的线性规划问题; 然后, 为解决效率得分无法达到1的问题, 提出一种新的鲁棒乘性DEA模型, 并提供其约束违反的概率界限; 最后, 通过所测量中国31个省市的电力系统的运营效率结果表明, 在不确定环境下, 所开发鲁棒乘性DEA模型在效率得分方面具有较好的性能表现.

    Abstract:

    The multiplicative data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is an effective tool for efficiency measurement. Using piecewise log-linear technologies, it flexibly captures key production characteristics (convexity, linearity, and concavity) of production functions. However, many existing studies have not taken into account data uncertainty and have not allowed for the distribution of uncertain data to be unknown. Therefore, this paper adopts a robust optimization approach to model uncertainties in both input and output data of decision-making units, thereby ensuring stable and reliable performance evaluation. Based on the constructed budget uncertainty set with multiplicative features, this paper proposes two robust multiplicative DEA models and reformulates them as equivalent linear programming problems through duality. To solve the problem of efficiency score not reaching 1, a new robust multiplicative DEA model is proposed, and the probability bound of constraint violation is provided. This paper measures the operational efficiency of power systems in 31 provinces and cities in China, and the results show that the developed robust multiplicative DEA models perform well in terms of efficiency scores under uncertainty.

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邵龙龙,陈华友,刘金培,等.数据不确定下的乘性DEA模型: 一种鲁棒优化方法[J].控制与决策,2026,41(6):1625-1639

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  • 收稿日期:2025-05-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-13
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