基于隐连续性恢复的粗粒度离散标签混合时序预测方法
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TP183

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江西省自然科学基金项目(20242BAB27003);国家自然科学基金原创探索项目(62450020);工业控制技术全国重点实验室浙大专项项目(ICT2025C01);工业控制技术全国重点实验室项目(ICT2024A06).


Coarse-grained discretization label hybrid time series prediction method based on hidden continuity recovery
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    摘要:

    受传感器精度、数据存储以及人工标注效率等因素限制, 工业场景中常常使用粗粒度的离散标签替代原本连续的值. 然而, 离散标签通常会造成信息损失, 导致其背后隐含的连续动态过程难以准确建模; 此外, 离散变量与连续变量在分布特性和信息粒度上存在差异, 无法实现统一的预测. 针对上述问题, 提出一种基于隐连续性恢复的粗粒度离散标签混合时序预测方法(CDL-HCR). 首先, 所提出方法通过隐连续性恢复策略, 利用可观测的离散标签推断不可观测的连续变量, 从而实现对原本不可测连续变量的估计. 然后, 结合自监督学习机制, 将恢复得到的隐连续变量与原有连续变量在统一空间中进行特征融合, 以提升混合时序数据的预测精度. 在线应用阶段, 模型可直接输入实时采集的混合数据进行预测. 最后, 在真实的滚筒烘丝过程数据集上验证所提出方法, 验证结果显示其在混合时序数据预测任务中相比于传统方法具有更高的准确性.

    Abstract:

    Due to limitations such as sensor accuracy, data storage capacity and the efficiency of manual labelling, coarse-grained discrete labels are often used instead of the original continuous values in industrial scenarios. However, discrete labels typically result in information loss, making it challenging to accurately model the underlying continuous dynamic processes. Additionally, differences in distribution characteristics and information granularity exist between discrete and continuous variables, preventing unified prediction. To address these issues, a hybrid time series prediction method called coarse-grained discretized labels-hidden continuity recovery (CDL-HCR) is proposed. Using the hidden continuity recovery strategy, the method infers unobservable continuous variables from observable discrete labels in order to estimate originally unmeasurable continuous variables. Then, combined with a self-supervised learning mechanism, the recovered hidden continuous variables and the original continuous variables are fused in a unified space to improve the prediction accuracy of mixed time series data. During the online application stage, the model can input real-time mixed data directly for prediction. Finally, the proposed method is verified using real drum drying process data, and the results show that it is more accurate than traditional methods for predicting mixed time series data.

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孙曦,赵春晖,张皓然.基于隐连续性恢复的粗粒度离散标签混合时序预测方法[J].控制与决策,2026,41(5):1457-1467

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-17
  • 出版日期: 2026-05-10
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