考虑信任与移情关系的大规模冲突主体共识偏好研究
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南京航空航天大学

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C934

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国家自然科学基金项目(72471117,W2433175);安徽省高校人文社会科学重点研究项目(2024AH052388);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新项目(KYCX25_0646;KYCX24_0518);安徽省高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目(2023AH040269)


A Consensus Preference Model for Large-Scale Conflict Decision Makers Considering Trust and Empathy Relationships
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    摘要:

    针对大规模社会冲突中主体内部偏好异质化问题,基于冲突分析图模型(Graph Model for Conflict Resolution, GMCR)框架,构建了一种考虑信任与移情关系的共识偏好生成模型。首先对大规模冲突主体进行子组划分,量化子组间信任关系与移情权重;进而建立融合信任网络与移情响应的共识迭代算法,其中移情机制特别考量子组对群体综合排序的认同;随后,运用改进模糊序数优先权方法(Fuzzy Ordinal Priority Approach, OPA-F)实现异质偏好的序数聚合,形成策略声明共识排序;最后,基于策略优先权排序法输出共识偏好结果。案例应用、灵敏度分析与对比分析表明:该模型能有效提升共识效率,其生成的共识偏好可显著增强关键决策方的策略稳定性。所提模型实现了从群体内部分歧到共识策略声明排序的转化,为大规模社会冲突的共识性协调提供了可计算的分析框架。

    Abstract:

    To address the issue of heterogeneous internal preferences among decision makers in large-scale social conflicts, this study develops a consensus preference generation model that integrates trust and empathy relationships, based on the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) framework. First, large-scale conflict decision makers are divided into subgroups to quantify trust relationships and empathy weights among them. Subsequently, a consensus iteration algorithm that integrates trust networks and empathy responses is established, in which the empathy mechanism specifically considers subgroups' identification with the group's overall ranking. Then, an improved Fuzzy Ordinal Priority Approach (OPA-F) is applied to achieve ordinal aggregation of heterogeneous preferences and form a consensus ranking of strategy statements. Finally, consensus preference outcomes are generated based on the strategy priority ranking method. Validation through case application, sensitivity analysis, and comparative analysis shows that the model can effectively improve consensus efficiency, and the generated consensus preferences significantly enhance the strategic stability of key decision makers. The proposed model achieves the transformation from intra-group disagreements to a consensus-based strategy statement ranking, thereby providing a computable analytical framework for consensus-based coordination in large-scale social conflicts.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-10-24
  • 最后修改日期:2026-03-24
  • 录用日期:2026-03-25
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