基于多分支特征融合自编码器的油井工况短期预测
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TE933

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国家自然科学基金项目(62173073).


Short-term prediction of oil well conditions based on multi-branch feature fusion autoencoder
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    摘要:

    油井工况预测对于提升油井生产效率、降低故障损失至关重要, 但目前油井工况预测仅能预测工况类型, 无法输出所预测的工况示功图, 导致现场应用受限. 针对该问题, 提出一种基于多分支特征融合自编码器的油井工况短期预测模型. 首先, 为解决示功图序列样本间图形变化趋势微弱, 易受噪声和相似工况图形的影响, 导致特征提取效果不佳的问题, 在编码器中设计3个方向的可变形卷积分支分别关注示功图XYXY方向特征; 然后, 为互补不同分支所提取的方向特征, 设计基于空间注意力的交叉融合结构, 并将不同分支的融合特征进行拼接, 使用通道注意力机制增强特征融合效果; 最后, 将示功图特征序列输入长短期记忆网络预测未来工况的示功图特征, 并基于解码器重构示功图. 通过油田生产现场的油井示功图序列进行仿真验证, 结果表明所提出方法在油井工况预测及示功图重构上均具有良好的性能.

    Abstract:

    Well condition prediction is crucial for enhancing oil well production efficiency and reducing fault-related losses. However, current methods are limited to predicting the condition type and cannot output the corresponding indicator diagram, which restricts practical field application. To address this issue, a short-term oil well condition prediction model based on a multi-branch feature fusion autoencoder is proposed. Firstly, to resolve the issue of weak inter-sample graphical variation trends in the indicator diagram sequence, which is susceptible to noise and similar condition patterns leading to suboptimal feature extraction, three deformable convolutional branches are designed within the encoder to focus on features along the X, Y, and XY directions of the indicator diagram, respectively. Secondly, to complement the directional features extracted by the different branches, a spatial attention-based cross-fusion structure is designed. The fused features from each branch are concatenated, and a channel attention mechanism is then applied to enhance the feature fusion effect. Finally, the feature sequence of the indicator diagram is input into a long short-term memory network to predict the features of the future condition's indicator diagram, and the indicator diagram is reconstructed based on the decoder. Simulations conducted using oil well indicator diagram sequences from actual production sites demonstrate that the proposed method achieves satisfactory performance in both oil well condition prediction and indicator diagram reconstruction.

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王通,王寒静,高宪文,等.基于多分支特征融合自编码器的油井工况短期预测[J].控制与决策,2026,41(6):1753-1764

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  • 收稿日期:2025-11-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-13
  • 出版日期: 2026-06-10
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