RareBoost: 一种基于稀有区域识别的稀有值自助不平衡回归方法
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68T05;68T10

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国家自然科学基金项目(12261052, 11761041);云南省基础研究计划项目(202501AS070103);云南省“兴滇人才支持计划”.


RareBoost: A rare value self-boosting imbalanced regression method via rare region identification
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    摘要:

    不平衡回归任务中, 连续目标变量的分布不均衡使得稀有值预测面临挑战, 其核心难点在于如何有效界定并识别稀有值. 针对这一挑战, 提出一种新的稀有区域识别策略($KK $-means). 该方法结合核密度估计和$K $-means聚类, 能够将目标变量空间中的稀疏样本点系统性地识别并合并为连续的稀有区间, 进而, 提出一种基于稀有区域识别的稀有值自助不平衡回归方法(RareBoost). RareBoost先通过标签密度比加权提取稀有区间信息, 并在自助采样中动态调整样本权重, 以增强模型对稀有区域的关注; 然后通过Stacking元学习器集成这些具有“稀有值感知”能力的基学习器, 形成兼顾全局效率与局部精度的稀有值预测模型. 实验表明, RareBoost在ANLL、RMSE与$ R^{2} $上的平均表现分别比最佳基线方法提升8.7%、5.8%和13.8%, 验证了其有效性.

    Abstract:

    In imbalanced regression tasks, the uneven distribution of continuous target variables poses a significant challenge for predicting rare values, with the core difficulty lying in effectively defining and identifying these rare values. To address this challenge, this paper first proposes a novel rare region identification strategy, named $KK $-means, which combines kernel density estimation and $ K $-means clustering to systematically identify and merge sparse sample points in the target variable space into continuous rare intervals. Furthermore, a rare value bootstrap-based imbalanced regression method (RareBoost) is proposed, based on the identified rare regions. The RareBoost first extracts information from the identified rare intervals through label density ratio weighting and dynamically adjusts sample weights during the bootstrap sampling process to enhance the model’s focus on rare regions. Subsequently, a Stacking meta-learner is employed to integrate these base learners with ‘rare value awareness’, forming a predictive model that balances global efficiency and local accuracy for rare values. Experimental results demonstrate that the RareBoost achieves average improvements of 8.7%, 5.8%, and 13.8% over the best baseline method in terms of ANLL, RMSE, and $ R^{2}$, respectively, confirming its effectiveness.

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刘丹,付英姿,付光辉. RareBoost: 一种基于稀有区域识别的稀有值自助不平衡回归方法[J].控制与决策,2026,41(9):2411-2422

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-17
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-20
  • 出版日期: 2026-09-10
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