融合多阶段测试数据的装备性能评估方法
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作者单位:

1.信息支援部队工程大学;2.青州高新技术研究所

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中图分类号:

V267;TP274.2

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(62403474)、国防科技大学青年自主创新科学基金


A method for equipment performance evaluation by fusing multi-stage test data
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National Natural Science Foundation of China (62403474), Youth Independent Innovation Science Foundation of National University of Defense Technology

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    摘要:

    针对复杂装备性能评估中存在的多阶段转换、测试指标各异、历史信息难综合等挑战,基于证据推理(Evidential reasoning, ER)规则,提出一种融合多阶段测试数据的多层动态评估(Multi-level dynamic evaluation, MLDE)模型。首先,通过构建ER子模型解决指标异构性挑战,实现各阶段测试数据的标准化融合;其次,引入信息衰减因子量化历史阶段性能对当前状态的影响,克服阶段内信息利用不足的缺陷;最后,设计基于性能衰减的权重折扣因子,实现多阶段性能状态的自适应融合。ZHS-2转子试验系统的案例研究表明,MLDE模型具有理想的评估精度,可为复杂装备的故障容错与维护决策提供可靠依据。

    Abstract:

    To address the challenges in performance evaluation of complex equipment, such as multi-stage transition, diverse test indicators, and difficulty in integrating historical information, a multi-level dynamic evaluation (MLDE) model for fusing multi-stage test data is proposed based on the evidential reasoning (ER) rule. Firstly, some ER sub-models are constructed to tackle the challenge of indicator heterogeneity, with standardized fusion of test data at each stage achieved. Secondly, an information attenuation factor is introduced to quantify the impact of performance in historical stages on the current state, thus overcoming the limitation of insufficient utilization of in-stage information. Finally, a weight discount factor based on performance attenuation is designed, enabling adaptive fusion of multi-stage performance states. Case studies on the ZHS-2 rotor test system have demonstrated that the MLDE model not only achieves desirable evaluation accuracy but also features a transparent and traceable reasoning process, with a reliable basis provided for fault tolerance and maintenance decision-making of complex equipment.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-12-30
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-23
  • 录用日期:2026-07-24
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-10
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