原料性质不确定下连续重整装置改进多目标贝叶斯操作优化
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华东理工大学

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TP181

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国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFB3307800),上海市自然科学基金项目(24ZR1415900), 国家自然科学基金面上项目(62273149), 工业控制技术全国重点实验室项目(ICT2024A26)


Improved multi-objective bayesian operational optimization for continuous catalytic reforming under feedstock property uncertainty
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    摘要:

    连续重整(CCR)装置是石化行业的重要装置之一,针对该装置在原料性质不确定下的操作优化问题,本研究提出一种改进的多目标贝叶斯优化方法。该方法首先采用多目标贝叶斯优化(MOBO)框架,通过高斯过程代理模型高效逼近Pareto前沿。为提升解集多样性,创新引入迭代距离阈值机制,有效缓解传统方法中的解集聚问题。针对原料不确定性,提出一种数据驱动的不确定性区间构建方法,将历史统计信息与实时测定值相结合,更准确地刻画原料波动特性。在此基础上,通过层级图法从Pareto解集中筛选候选操作点,并在模拟的多种原料场景下评估其鲁棒性,最终获得兼顾优化性能与运行稳健性的操作方案。基于27集总CCR机理模型的仿真结果表明,所提方法能以较少评估次数获得分布更优的Pareto前沿,为工业装置在原料波动下的操作优化提供了有效解决方案。

    Abstract:

    The Continuous Catalytic Reforming (CCR) unit is one of the critical installations in the petrochemical industry. To address the operational optimization problem under feedstock property uncertainty, this study proposes an improved multi-objective Bayesian optimization method. The approach first adopts a Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization (MOBO) framework, efficiently approximating the Pareto front through Gaussian process surrogate models. To enhance the diversity of the solution set, an innovative iterative distance threshold mechanism is introduced, effectively mitigating the solution clustering issue inherent in conventional methods. For feedstock uncertainty, a data-driven method for constructing uncertainty intervals is proposed, which integrates historical statistical information with real-time measurement data to characterize feedstock variability more accurately. On this basis, candidate operating points are selected from the Pareto solution set using the level diagrams method, and their robustness is evaluated under simulated multiple feedstock scenarios, ultimately yielding an operational strategy that balances optimization performance and operational stability. Simulation results based on a 27-lump CCR mechanistic model demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve a better-distributed Pareto front with fewer evaluation iterations, providing an effective solution for the operational optimization of industrial units under feedstock fluctuations.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-24
  • 最后修改日期:2026-03-31
  • 录用日期:2026-04-02
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-07
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