考虑双层供应中断的制造企业海外基地采购计划优化
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合肥工业大学

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中图分类号:

F272;F273;TP312

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目),国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)


Optimization of procurement plan for overseas bases of manufacturing enterprises considering double supply disruption
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan),The National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)

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    摘要:

    供应中断呈现出供应商层面与国家层面并存的双层中断特征,使得海外基地采购计划在不确定性与风险结构上不同于传统采购问题.基于上述现实需求,对考虑双层供应中断的制造企业海外基地采购计划优化问题进行研究,引入关税、税收政策等国际因素,以总期望成本最小化为目标,建立了非线性随机规划模型,并设计了一种双深度Q网络引导的改进自适应遗传算法.该算法包含启发式种群初始化方法、基于贪婪的跨周期局部搜索算子、基于双深度Q网络的参数更新机制三种改进机制.在数值实验中,与Gurobi求解器和其他算法进行对比,实验结果表明该算法在求解质量、稳定性和计算时间方面均具有明显优势.之后通过消融实验验证了算法中各改进机制的有效性.同时,通过案例分析验证本文方法在实际采购决策场景中的适用性.最后,通过敏感性实验分析税收减免比例的变化对采购成本的影响.

    Abstract:

    Supply disruption presents the characteristics of double-layer disruption at the supplier level and the national level, which makes the procurement plan of overseas bases different from the traditional procurement problems in terms of uncertainty and risk structure. Based on the above practical needs,This paper studies the procurement plan optimization of overseas bases of manufacturing enterprises considering two-tier supply disruption, introduces international factors such as tariffs and tax policies, establishes a non-linear stochastic programming model with the objective of minimizing the total expected cost, and designs an improved adaptive genetic algorithm guided by double deep Q-network (DDQN). The algorithm includes three improved mechanisms: heuristic population initialization method, greedy cross periodic local search operator, and parameter update mechanism based on DDQN. In numerical experiments, compared with Gurobi solver and other algorithms, the experimental results show that the algorithm has obvious advantages in solving quality, stability and computing time. The effectiveness of each improved mechanism in the algorithm is verified by the ablation study. At the same time, the applicability of this method in the actual purchase decision scenario is verified by case analysis. Finally, the sensitivity experiment is used to analyze the impact of the change of tax relief ratio on procurement costs.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-03-10
  • 最后修改日期:2026-08-13
  • 录用日期:2026-08-14
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-22
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