考虑策略性等待的并行制造系统云订单动态接收优化
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作者单位:

1.天津大学;2.南开大学

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中图分类号:

TP301

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Optimization of dynamic order acceptance in parallel manufacturing systems with strategic waiting in cloud manufacturing
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The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    云制造环境下,制造商面临随机、动态、异质的在线订单流,常在即时响应当前订单与保留产能以等待未来潜在高价值订单之间进行动态权衡,以实现长期利润最大化。本文立足云制造背景下制造商视角,研究具有策略性等待的多机并行制造系统随机动态订单接收问题。当前针对随机订单接收问题的研究多基于确定性假设或短视规则,难以有效量化等待的机会价值,且现有精确动态规划方法在大规模多机场景下受限于“维数灾难”。为此,本文提出一种特征驱动的近似动态规划(Feature-Driven Approximate Dynamic Programming, FD-ADP)方法,将“策略性等待”建模为状态依赖的主动决策机制,通过“资源—负载—时序”的特征压缩与价值导向的等待准则,在保持策略可解释性的同时高效逼近最优解。数值实验表明,FD-ADP在平均达到理论最优解93.00%的同时,计算效率显著优于精确动态规划,且利润表现优于传统元启发式算法(PSO/GA)。研究进一步揭示,策略性等待行为主要集中于高负载早期、高负载中后期与低负载中前期三类系统状态,受资源负载、时间进度与订单到达率共同驱动,且在中等定制订单到达率下带来最高边际利润提升。本文为云制造中应对随机订单冲击的动态订单接收提供了兼具计算效率、可解释性与近似最优性的解决方案。

    Abstract:

    Online order acceptance in cloud manufacturing faces heterogeneous and stochastic order streams with real-time arrivals. Manufacturers must dynamically trade off accepting current orders and reserving capacity for potential high-value orders to maximize long-term profit. This paper focuses on the perspective of manufacturers in cloud manufacturing, studying the problem of dynamic order acceptance with strategic waiting in a multi-machine parallel manufacturing system under random order arrivals. Existing studies largely rely on deterministic assumptions or myopic rules that fail to quantify the value of waiting; exact dynamic programming further suffers from the curse of dimensionality in large-scale settings. We propose a Feature-Driven Approximate Dynamic Programming (FD-ADP) approach that models strategic waiting through state-dependent value approximation using compressed resource–load–time features. Numerical experiments show that FD-ADP achieves about 93% of the theoretical optimum, is significantly more computationally efficient than dynamic programming, and yields higher profits than PSO and GA. Strategic waiting emerges under specific system states and yields the largest marginal profit gains at moderate customized-order arrival rates. The proposed framework offers an efficient and near-optimal solution for dynamic order acceptance under stochastic demand in cloud manufacturing.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-03
  • 最后修改日期:2026-09-08
  • 录用日期:2026-09-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-23
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